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Discussion in 'Nintendo Wii Chat' started by CantGetAWii, Jan 19, 2008.
100 million? lol
that means 1.5 ppl in the world would have a wii!
gees, 100 million??? How much is Ninty making off this...:crazy:
I already estimated they would sell 50 million by the end of 2008. If they price drop and increase production to 3-4 million units before June. If...
According to my estimations Nintendo will break 100 million before 2011. Possibly even 2010. A major factor will be the US economic collapse in 2009. How bad the collapse is will determine future sales. Why do you think Sony's so desperate to continue lowering the price of the PS3 at a massive loss?
What? Are you saying there's less than 100 million people in the world?
PS2 sold 120 million. Its possible for Wii could do it, but for some reason I doubt it. Im thinking it will get close to a 100 mill but I dont think it will pass it.
What do you mean? I know US is having economy problems and that the dollar is losing value. So if the economy "collapses" wouldn't that be a bad thing?
When it comes to this subject I have no idea, I hated Economy in High School.
that means theres 150 million peopl alive lol.
and i think every1 had at least 2 ps2's i had 2.my couson had 4 just because they broke. i think the wiis more reliale but im not sure
The Wii is quickly becomming the same phenomenon that Ps2 was with a price that is acctually less than ps2 intial launch, and selling faster at the start. They have the same supply issue ps2 did with launch and with the "improvement" of gameplay, much as the improvement of grahics with the ps2, it has drawn in a whole new crowd of casual gamer to the gaming world.
It will keep up if not beat the ps2 sales numbers, no doubt in my mind, aslong as nintendo does stick it out and doesnt jump to release a new system before that time they will keep pace if not get ahead of the ps2 having sold 100 million by 5 years and if they stick it out 7 years like the ps2 they will sell 120 or more by that time.
"although ps2 had the nasty breaking issue and that boosted sales numbers, not new sales but replacements" So nintendo keeping pace with ps2 with a reliable console itself, would be beating the ps2 with no repeat sales in my mind.
Xbox 360 will do well, they will keep getting record sales numbers maybe even catch up to the Wii on and off with some of there hott title drops.
Not sure about ps3 they will get better with time and price im sure, it will be considered good sales by the gaming world when its done, but not the same sales numbers they are use to with the ps2. Thats the price you have to pay for "forced" inovation.
Over all i think it will be a record setting Gen for everyone in gaming not just Nintendo.
If current sales continued, then yes 100M Wiis would sell. However it is hard to tell whether or not the demand for them is slowing down or growing seeing as they are still sold out virtually everywhere. So untill Nintendo ramps up production, it will be impossible to even estimate how many Wiis will be sold. I think they can keep momemtum, if like the article says they are improving their online capabilities at the same time as bringing out great games for online i.e. Mario sports titles.
lol your not an analyst dude, thats not credible at all.
PS2 has had like seven years i beleive to sell that many systems. their claiming wii will do it in five? it does seem do-able considering the popularity. i guess the PS2 got the casual gamers vote last gen so idn.. i just think it will fade out in the next two years.
Though, the Wii is selling a lot, I doubt it's going to pass the PS2 in sales.
The damn thing (PS2) is still selling right now.
For the Wii to do this, it would have to live past its life cycle.
I just don't think it's going to do that. I don't think Nintendo would rely on last gen tech like Sony is.
ps2 sold 100 million within 5 years of launch 120 after 7 years...
Will they outsell the ps2 overall? maybe not, depends if there next system is like the ps3 and not making it in the market, then they will still need previous gen sales to stay afloat like Sony.
But it will last 5 years.
With the popularity of the Wii and the larger gaming market now because of the Wii itself its more than capable of reaching 100 million in 5 years same as the ps2... although who knows how many ps2's were replacements because of breakdowns...
still the Wii is more than able to hit that number, aslong as nintendo meets manufacturing demands and keeps comming out with hit products among the casual and hardcore its not a strech to think they will.
Wii sold around 19.5 million by the end of 2007 So I STRONGLY DOUBT Wii will sell another 19.5 by the end of 2008. No console ever sells the same amount the next year because demand drops. Most people who really wants it already have it. So sales will drop. In order for Wii to get 100mill in 5 years they have to sell 20 mill per year. So far they didnt meet the first years quota to get 100mill. This is why I doubt they can get 100mill by 2012. I think they will come close, but not 100mill. I do think Wii is more reliable than the PS2, its Nintendo! Their consoles never break down while PS2 had as much problems as the 360. So without the "my console broke, I need another one" factor, its going to be harder for Wii than the PS2.
woah ninty getting the money big time from the wii
So unless they start breaking you dont think they will sell?
They already outsold ps2 sales for 1st year launch numbers... And it wouldnt take much to keep that pace considering we dont know what sales are even capable of because they cant meet demand of the consumers yet..
Ps2 Launched in March 2000
End of 2000
PS2 - 6.4 million
End of 2001
PS2 - 24.99 million
End of 2002
PS2 - 49.59 million
End of 2003
PS2 - 69.46 million
End of 2004
PS2 - 81.39 million
End of 2005
PS2 - 101.37 million
These sales increases over the years were not because of just broken PS2s it shows when Sony did price drops, big titles,redesigns ect....
That type of trend happens with alot of consoles... most sell the "LEAST" in there first year on the market... so saying 20 million is the best they can do and every year is going to be less is rediculous... Hardly any console in recent time has had its best year in its first year...
360 did better in its 2nd year over its first not much but better, aswell as the original xbox...
The first 3 years are the big years the first being the worst because of cost,supply,support, ect... after 3 years everyone might have one that really wants one... Then they do price drops and everyone that didnt really need one gets one anyways...
Still way to many people thinking this is a fad!
Its just how the industry works. Sorry if "your" console isnt in the lead and all but face facts and give it up.
Well I stand Corrected. But it was just my prediction/opinion if you read it.
But why the 'Sorry if "your" console isnt in the lead'? I could care less what console is in the lead. I still don't think its gonna break 100mill.
Keep in mind though, that there are still people who can't find a Wii, and people who have held off buying one until good games arrive. 2008 has a bunch of good Wii titles, and should attract a good amount of interest. And keep in mind..Wii Sold 19.5 Million on very poor games overall, Twilight Princess, Metroid Prime 3 and Super Mario Galaxy were the better ones of the whole year.
The only way nintendo is going to screw themself is if they dont meet demand soon... eventually people will give up and buy another console...
Great post man. You guys have to admit that this is done with hardly any real 3rd party support too. There are loads more people who have not played or tried the Wii. Wii sports is the main selling point right now also. People will continue to buy Wiis for the simple fact that they can actually sell them also.
Then on top of that you will have more announcements in the coming months of games that will be coming out in the spring. If no more hero does sell well then you may see suda 51 getting more money behind his games.
I've never seen a console sell like this the first year and it's not because people can't find one. It's no longer christmas people. People buy what they enjoy and most people understand every one enjoys the Wii. I mean web games have been around for a long time and people have just ended up playing more of them rather than getting tired of them. The only segment that is actually declining is hardcore game sales. It shrinks every year last time I spoke with some one about it. The PC market is getting hit the worst also just look at UT3 sales. Hey but it's bad on both systems.
Waiting for the Wii to die down is like waiting on people to stop having fun. The problem is Wii sports and other games will keep selling this system and it will always be new to the first time Wii owner. I mean really if people stop buying Wii play or sports then nintendo will just release a Wii sports killer since no one else can do this.
In a developer's mind there is an elephant in the room that they can't ignore any more. They all know the PS2 was dead in the water until the big games started to roll out.
Maybe this is what the PS3 fans are waiting on. Yet I'm not sure it's going to happen due to the price and the fact you will need a HDtv. Those HDMI cable are like buying a game right now...LOL I expect the PS3 to do just a little better than the xbox 360 by next year because the xbox 360 had some real show stoppers like Bio shock, gears of war, madden, mass effect and the fact that the graphics oooo000hhhh and ahhhh may have worn off if you start to look at UT3 sales. The hardcore are starting to get over the graphics thing and they are getting use to gears of war type graphics now. Yet now they want game play or at least some thing new. If i'm not mistakened metal gaer and final fantasy play just like the last version. So if you take a look at what I just said and the fact that PS3 owners don't buy games you start to see why the PS3 may actual sale less than the xbox 360 in the second year. Hopefully the big two game will pull people in since every thing else talking about is also going to be on the xbox 360.
So why did I bring those HD consoles up. Well to put it simply those guys are the only hope of slowing down the Wii. Yet I don't really see any games that can currently make potential buyers feel like the Wii is not worth their time. I mean really we are first year buyers, AKA the early adopters and their maybe more early adopters than you think! Which is a very strong position to have in some one's mind. If the US economic collapse in 2009...LOL does happen then the Wii may actually sell even better since it may be even cheaper by that time.
With DS sales being an almost predictor for the Wii sales I can not imagine why it wouldn't sell. hey but stranger things have happened.